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the if stuff here on on "worldwide exchange." >> but there are two of us. you're back. >> i'm back here. eyes are getting better. >> glasses are gone. >>> so on today's program, we'll bring you live updates from beijing as the chinese economy shows signs of improve. >>> and we'll head out to washington for a view on how the handover of power in china will impact relations in the u.s. >> we're in london to talk about shipping trends. >>> plus what will obama do about the looming fiscal cliff? we'll have plenty of analysis from commentators. >> and we'll hear first from the cfo of aliance. but first day two data suggested growth is picking up and inflation is moderating meaning beijing may have more scope to ease if necessary. ppi industrial output and retail sales all came in better than forecast. eunice joins us from beijing. i'd hate to suggest this is quite good timing for this data. very convenient. >> what are you suggesting? a lot of people are saying that the numbers are showing the economy is bottoming out and a lot of people do use the numbers as a guideline at least. they're saying t
speeches, fund-raisers, they're all over. now comes down to u.s. voters. more than 120 million are expected to show up at the polls. >> and european investors are holding off on big moves. equities just edging higher led by technology stocks. >> and adecco sees hiring picking up in america. >>> we're finally here, election day in the united states. before that, we have the latest pmis out of the eurozone. economy declined steepening going into the fourth quarter. the final services pmi lower than the flash. it was 46.2 was the flash. lowest since july 2009. that means the composite final pmi 45.7. the flash 45.8. french services pmi weakened, also. 46.2. so both those major parts of the eurozone economy -- >> and remember, this is a leading indicator. if you see europe doing any better next year, you have to start seeing at least this indicator bottoming. >> dollar just dipped down to its lowest point of the session on the back of that. and of course we've got in spain they're talking about the groth being much weaker than the government's forecast. >> even though their service might have b
's shift to democracy in a first ever trip by a serving u.s. president to the country. but he cautions that his trip should not be seen as an endorsement of the country's sgoechlt. and oil futures hitting a two week high as international pressure mounts for a cease-fire in gaza. u.n. secretary general ban ki-moon is heading to cairo for emergency negotiations. good morning, welcome to the program packed full of fantastic guests to give you you updates and analysis on where we are in trade. if europe, higher by 0.8%. coming off the 3 1/2 month low that we saw in the close on friday, helped along by optimism on the negotiations to avoid a fiscal cliff state side. we saw quite a rally in the u.s. on friday's close and that is feeding through to europe here this morning. ftse 100 higher by 09%, xetra dax by more than 1% and ibex 35 more than half a percentage point. the bond markets, the question is whether or not we'll see a lid on on bond prices on treasuries especially if we manage to overt a fiscal cliff scenario, if we see productive talks continuing. right now we're seeing the yield
rolls to re-election and a second term, defeating mitt romney despite a weak u.s. economy and persistently high unemployment. >> investors cheer obama's re-election. equities trading high led by autos and health care stocks. >> democrats keep their hold of the senate and republicans keep their control of the house. >> there will be a tough challenge facing the looming fiscal cliff. >>> a very good morning to you. it's been a long night, but we have a result. >> yes, we do. let's get right it to. president barack obama capturing a second term in the white house despite the struggling u.s. economy. he did manage to win many of the same states he took in 2008 and nearly all the critical swing states, including ohio, virginia, and colorado. speaking to supporters in chicago just a few hours ago, the president congratulated his republican challenger on the spirited race and said there's plenty of work ahead to fix the country's fiscal problems. >> i believe we can seize this future together, because we are not as divided as our politics suggest. we're not as cynical as the pund
, so whether the u.s. down there or italy and spain here in the periphery, 4.7%, 6%, remarkable there, level for spain even today as the country's banks are being more fully examined in light of the national examination plans. the dollar/yen pulling back about half a percent to 8167. let's get to deirdre bolton from singapore. hi, deirdre. >> hi, kelly, how are you? and it's morris, by the way. but i'm flattered that you call me bolton. in china and hong kong, it was all about, what else, the fiscal cliff. those comments from the senate majority leader harry reid overnight really sparked some jitters in this session today, so we have red across the board. the shanghai composite, it is well and truly below that 2011 level, shedding another .9 of a percent. the hang seng was feeling some of that pressure from chinese stocks and shedding .6 of a percent. it was the mainland banks that were the culprit. they didn't fare as badly if the mainland. some capital requirement rules are going to be implemented that are raising concerns about loans and the ability of these major banks to give out
>>> welcome to worldwide exchange. here are your headlines. the final set of numbers on the u.s. jobs market before the election are out in just a few hours forecasts calling for another month of modest but not stellar payroll growth. >> dow, nasdaq post strongest session since mid september. >> the rising cost of sandy, one major risk modeling firm now says the economic losses from the storm could reach $50 billion. >> and china steps insecurity ahead of next week's com you uhe nis party congress. even model airplanes have been grounded. if you're just joining us, very good morning to you. this is where we stand. we are at the moment dow 24 points below fair value. let's show you where we is an with you're feuropean stocks. cac down half a percent, ftse 100 down 0.2%. let's show you some individual stocks in focus. losses on friday hurt by a sector wide slump. equipment maker cutting back spending down as you can see merely 7%. rbs coming out with results this morning. this is the uk bank with a government owned majority and part nationalized lending reporting an increase in th
>>> these are your headlines. >> a tough start to a new month for equities as all through u.s. indexes snap a four month winning streak in the first day of trade after the market shut down. >> campaigning resumes as the northeast assesses the damage from super storm sandy. good and big earnings day for oil giants giants. shell sees a fall and exxonmobile due to report before the opening bell. >> growth recovery may be near. official october pmi bouncing back into expansion territory. >>> we're under way just one hour and an awful lot to to get to. >> new york city still struggling to right itself after monday's super storm. one stap he have the big apple will return, the mta will resume partial subway service on 14 lines. la guardia airport will also reopen at 7:00 a.m. with limited service. amtrak says it will try to restore service to penn station come friday. >> homes in bay ahead are seriously damaged or destroyed. president obama got a firsthand look with governor chris christie yesterday afternoon. >> and danielle lee joins us, she's in the town of toms river. and we kn
's wrong with that? [ticking] >> when the u.s. oil companies came here in the '40s and '50s, the americans moved into the area with their families and developed it to suit their tastes and their way of life. they created a replica of american suburbia. today you could be in the outskirts of houston or los angeles. it's almost like it's an enclave within saudi arabia. it's--different from the rest of the country. >> yes, that's true, because-- >> very different. it kept a lot of the american ways. >> yes, of course. >> but blocked off from the rest. >> they are good ways. there's nothing wrong with it. these were their excellent ways. >> welcome to 60 minutes on cnbc. i'm morley safer. in this edition, we follow the flow of big oil from massive, mega billion dollar oil fields in saudi arabia to the u.s. where wall street refines the oil into a mega billion dollar commodity. we begin with a look back to 2008 when the price of oil, theoretically tied to supply and demand, suddenly became untethered. storage tanks were full, yet the price skyrocketed from $69 a barrel to nearly $150 before it
during the holiday season and consumers make up 70% of the u.s. economy. during the holiday-shortened week the markets moved in tandem for the fiscal cliff. up more midweek. the markets continued to climb on friday. stunning accusations that one of america's iconic companies hewlett-packard which acquired autonomy last year for $11 billion is accusing autonomy of what it called serious improprieties in its bookkeeping and inflating its own value. meg witman says the company lied about how much it was worth. >> we believe there's a willful effort on the part of certain members of autonomy management to mislead shareholders when they were a publicly held companies and mislead buyers including hp and we stand by the forensic review we have seen. as you know, we have turned it over to the fcc. >> we are shocked. we have been pretty ambushed by this today. first we heard about it was a press release and we refute them. they are factually incorrect. we'd like to learn more about them. i'm afraid the details haven't been shared with us. >> reporter: autonomy ceo said the company fo
different. i got to help you this earnings season. i want to offer you a new way to use earnings season. day traders hijack a lot of the thinking. you're not trying to game the giving quarter. it's become so difficult to predict. and often the initial moves aren't even accurate because of the press conference or because something nasty just occurred in the overall market because of europe or something involved in the election. in other words, other than for those who are shorting or going long stocks ahead of the quarter, these earnings reports need a context to make you money. they can't be relied upon anymore because they aren't as predictive of future behaviors as they once were. they are a piece of the puzzle, a part of the mosaic. they are only one of very important parts of what predicts where a stock will go over the intermediate term. it is a teaching show. because i want you to know the metrics i'm using to pick stocks i talk about and recommend here you can follow along at cnbc.com. i want you to listen to these conference calls or read them in the transcripts. give you an opinion
soared on cyber monday. and all bets are off. prediction market entrade says it can no longer accept u.s. customers as market regulators say its trades aren't legal. shanghai composite closed below 2,000 for the first time in three years. it comes at a time when plenty have been talking up chinese growth prospects for next year. so we'll get into that more later. but 1991 is the closing level. this the main one to watch across asia. the nikkei did manage to continue it rally adding about 0.4% as the yen weakens on comments this morning. forex, the dollar-yen one to watch, 82.19 is the level there. the aussie dollar doing a little bit abouter despite that weak number on the shanghai composite. sterling is flat. we'll get into that more later. and euro-dollar just barely higher today, we did see it rallying over the 1.30 mark last night. as we look at crude rallying adding a third of a percent. brent about a quarter of a percent. copper, we're adding 0.2%. 354 bucks on that contract. the real foe you can as we continue to examine whether china's economy is fundamentally hanging in there, c
in the u.s. we'll head out to new york city later in the show for a preview of what to expect on wall street today. and more than 2,000 hand picked chinese delegates gathered at the great hall of the people to kick off the communist party week long transition. beijing will only officially reveal the next generation leaders thursday. hu jintao promised political and economic reform, but he stressed china won't abandon one party rule and will stick to the socialist path. eunice is live for us. this is his big final speech, so reading in sort of between the lines almost is very telling. it's the legacy he's trying to cath. and what less gassy is that? >> many here believe what he is saying is significant in that it is his final farewell. he really was just reading through the work report to talks about the achievements, the economic and political achievements that the party has had. and also to outline the future challenges. one of the first challenges you had already addressed is the issue of corruption. he said the government needed to do more to root it out. >> eunice, we're having tr
here. the u.s. allegatielections and redskins lost. >> we will mention the redskins indicator, but it's true whether the u.s., china, greece, eurozone itself would make for a big week, but combine them all together, in fact it's no wonder that markets are a little unnerved. >> coming up today, plenty to get through. we're at singapore where hundyui shares are down. >> and here in london, uk pmi data will be out. the question whether it will follow an upward trend. >> and china preparing for the once in a decade political handover. we'll take a lower look at the new leadership. >> when the redskins win or lose, it has predicted the top winner since 1980. there has been a notable expossession of 1984. >> although gore did win the popular vote but not the electoral college. >> in 2000. >> that's right. >> the all-important football -- i should say american football indicator here. it points towards a romney victory. >> besides all that, plenty corporate news. hsbcs has set aside an additional $800 million in the third quarter to deal with the u.s. anti-money laundering probe. that brings
to see everybody. thanks for joining us. carol, what are you expecting in 2013 under president obama's policies? >> i'm not expecting anything very good, maria. i think that we're going to end up with some sort of a slow down. i think whatever the compromise that ends up being made under this grand bargain, it's going to be something that ends up hurting unemployment. that being said, i think there's always a tale of two markets. from a broader market standpoint, i expect the market to be hurting. there's always opportunities to be had. >> steve, you have some breaking news earlier. you reported on janet yellen. tell us what that says about where we're headed in terms of economic growth in 2013. >> well, i think it tells us the fed is going to remain as loose as it possibly can through '13, '14, '15, and now even '16. janet yellen saying an optimal policy path, one that stays as close to 2% on inflation and tries to get the unemployment rate down to 6% could mean the fed remains easy through early 2016. by the way, they're thinking of scrapping all of that calendar date guidance thro
. yes, volatility will be with us for a period of time. but we are very constructive when we look at next year on the whole. >> chris, where's the -- >> what are you seeing today? a fractional move now but it's been very much getting rid of winners and selling into any strength in this market ever since the election. >> well, i guess the question i have for chris, where is the volatility? i'm surprised. the vix has collapsed. it's a rare day when you see the vix down 9%. the stock market, dow is only up 18 points? >> this day has a big asterisk attached to it, don't you think? >> yes, but nonetheless when you saw the stuff over the week we understand a lot of people -- i was surprised how many people were arguing maybe it's not a bad thing to go over the fiscal cliff. i think it's a terrible idea. i'm surprised to see the vix down so much. we have options expiration coming up friday. people are taking off when the risk is rising. i find that a little odd. >> michael, your idea is it's not just about the fiscal cliff. apple is a big factor for this market as well, isn't it? >> no q
i'm steve kroft. thanks for joining us. [ticking] [ticking] >> in a nondescript t-shirt at a nondescript desk, mark zuckerberg runs a vast global empire, leading the whole internet in his direction. is the goal for you to conquer the whole internet? to own the internet? >> well, think about it like this. people--if they can use a product of any category--photos, music, tv, anything--either by themselves or with their friends... >> mm-hmm. >> i think most of the time, people want to do those things with their friends, so-- >> so is the answer "yes"? [ticking] you describe bill gates in very harsh terms. um, you've described him as being quite abusive. i mean, it's not a pretty picture. >> and i felt like when i wrote it, i should just tell it like it happened, in an unvarnished way, warts and all. >> you'll hear how the two high school buddies who started microsoft and a computer revolution had some pretty trying times along the way. do you think he came to think that you weren't working as hard as he was and it became a source of resentment with him? >> well, i thi
cut spending and we did, we cut $900 billion in spending that he can't like painful tos us. >> we'll continue our call to rise bol politics and make a deal. oufr guests this morning include mike jackson and also david zaslav. and the head of maris group. and douglas holtz-eakin. >> let's talk about eurozone finance ministers meeting to discuss whether to release a new tranche of fund to go greece. the leaders are not expected it to okay the funding despite greece approving a tough 2013 budget. we'll have more from ross westgate in london on all of that. japan's economy shrank, first contraction since last year. the data adding to signs of slowing global growth and tensions with china nudging the which i into recession. and yen minute's main oil export pipeline shut after it was blown up in two pieces. local news organizations didn't identify the attackers, but they've been repeatedly sabotaged. finally, iran launched a military drill across half of the country today. government warning it would act again against aggressors. >> where is your jacket? >> i decided in high spirit of r
, decline in manufacturing eased a little bit more than expected in november. joining us, chief european economist. ricar ricardo, thanks for joining us. so still a negative territory. what does this point to in terms of the economic decline for the fourth quarter? >> i think it's in line with the idea that real sgchlt dp will decline by at least 0.2%, possibly 0.3%. it will give us a negative entry point in 2013 when i expect an average growth of minus 0.2%. so still moderately recession territory. >> the german flash composite pmi 47.9, services 48, manufacturing 46.8, is germany -- we just saw the 0.2% print. is girl aermany going to have a negative contract? >> i'm looking for a contraction of minus 0.2. so only aed modest one. i expect activity will stabilize in q1 of next year, but obviously that requires a favorable external environment, meaning u.s. not going into this deep due to the fiscal cliff. and also signs of improvement in asia. >> meanwhile the french pmi says the survey there suggests a 0.7% gdp drop in quarter 4 for france. >> that seems quite large. we've seen in rece
us a lot about the state of the consumer and the u.s. economy today. so we're turning to one of the most seasoned and respected voices on wall street for help. we have dana telsey. she is our guest host for the next three hours. andrew, i'll send it over to you. >> we begin with a visit to toyland and here is toys r us. it opened its doors at 8:00 last night. and we have toys r us ceo joining us right now from the company's flagship store in times square. good morning. >> good morning. >> so i read a report you you had a big line. what's it been like all evening? >> it's been great. we did have a big line. we're at 44th and broadway.line went all the the way to 45th street and then down 45th all the way to 6th avenue. it was huge. people came in in a real celebratory mood. people ate ice cream, relaxed with their kids. i've never seen a black friday like this before, but 8:00 hour worked really well for families. >> let's talk about sales. how did it go overnight? >> we're just starting. this is 5:00 a.m. on black friday morning. we're really just starting. we have about a b.
to point that out. >> we'll consider him the leading edge. >> thank you for joining us. thank you. everybody else, enjoy the rest of your weekend. we'll see you back here on monday. "squawk on the street" begins right now. ♪ have a holly jolly christmas it's the best time of the year ♪ ♪ i don't know if there will be snow but have a cup of cheer ♪ ♪ have a holly jolly christmas ♪ and when you walk down the street ♪ >> bargain hunters starting to hit the malls across the country rushing to get in and get a jump on the holiday shopping season. will it be the strong start retailers are counting on? welcome to "squawk on the street" this day after thanksgiving. hope you had a great holiday. i'm melissa lee along with brian sullivan a sulliv sullivan. let's look at how we're up for this abbreviated session. this is historical tendency in terms of the period between thanksgiving and december 3rd. most of the time we are higher in the markets and we're seeing that play out so far in future. look at the picture in europe. a surprise increase in german business confidence the
. concretely, we must identify the bottlenecks that prevent the vast resource of the euro area being used most fruitfully. the world bank's latest doing business report highlights greece as one of ten countries that have most improved the ease of doing business from a rather unfavorable level. the momentum is clearly going in the right direction, although much remains to be done. spain and portugal were among the countries that marie solving insolvent firms easier. crucial agreement for restructuring the economy in this transition period as resources must shift from unproductive to productive activities. it is the latter that create jobs. this reallocation process, though sometimes painful in the short run, i'll say always painful in the short run, carries the seed of future prosperity. a growing body of knowledge shows that by increasing the ability of the economy to adjust so that factors can be reallocated to the most competitive firms, aggregate labor productivity can increase substantially. some studies indicate a gain of as much as 20 force 30%. the current focus on competitiveness in fr
we have been hoping for for four decades now will arrive and the u.s. will serve up more oil than saudi arabia in the year 2020. that according to a new report by people who actually do know the oil business very well. >>> and sex and the ceo. and the collateral damage. how widespread is sex at work? we really want the answer to that question? >>> what should the consequences be. >>> and no hockey. forget about that. no problem. look what the world of auto racing brought us over the weekend. a brawl! another black eye for a sport that corporate america was counting on? no fighting here at cnbc. sue's with me here again. nice to have you here, sue. >> it is great to be here, ty. those "fast money" guys got me all riled up over there. they're having a good time. >>> we're going to take a look at the markets right now. dow jones industrial average has turned into positive territory, not by too much, but hey if you're a bull, we'll take it. the s&p is up two. the nasdaq up almost eight on the trading session. >>> we here at cnbc, as you do, follow the energy sector very closely on "po
say the central bank likely to hold off until after the federal reserve is due to meet. joining us for more is global chief officer of global equities. and head of japanese research at jpmorgan securities. i suppose the question is whether this contraction here in the third quarter will be followed by another one in the fourth. >> it looks quite likely. you've got bad news on exports continuing and you've got on on top of that now a contraction in public spending beginning to come through. the boost we got after the weak construction from the disaster, that's now bapeaking out. so public demand and economic demand likely to drag us. >> and how much is domestic relying on government support? >> the domestic private side is actually doing really differencely okay. one data point here, you find that mortgage lending is actually growing now for six or seven consecutive months and that shows you that they're opening their purse spritrings little bit. but overall you're really looking at slight contraction in the economy. >> what extra pressure does this put on the government and the ban
.1 million barrels a day. impact of hurricane sandy in the u.s., reduced, as well. crude oil supply dipped to a nine month low. so the demand being cut, patrick armstrong is where us, managing partner at investment managers. but that's clearly because of global weakness -- well, economic weakness in europe and hurricane impact. >> definitely. year over year, oil demand is up. we've had very weak economy in europe. not much growth in the united states. but i think that's the trend we'll be playing out for the next few years. >> oil 110 at the moment. is that a fair price? >> there's premium built in because of geopolitical risks. i think premium is probably justifiable. you look at wti at $23 discount to where breptd is. that's not sustainable in the long time, but given inventory levels, that will stay. >> do you keep your trade on oil? >> we have neutral position, but we're short the front month. respe respect. we make money by rolling the contracts the other way around. we're long oil in the 12 months forward rolling in to the 13th month and we end up with little more oil with that strat
and longer-run fiscal issues. i think if we do that, the economy can boom. >> i'm hoping to use a phrase i've heard recently, that everybody can rise above the politics that we see here all the time. >> if the guys in washington don't get together and actually act like grown-ups, we're in big trouble. >>> hi, everybody. time to rise above and keep the country from enduring a self-inflicted crisis. we're here today. i'm maria bartiromo coming to you live from the schwab impact conference in chicago. welcome to the "closing bell." we enter the final stretch for the markets today. everybody here is focused on the fiscal cliff. coming up, i will talk to allen simpson and erskine bowles in an interview you cannot afford to miss. hope you join us 4:00 p.m. eastern. the co-founders of the fix the debt campaign, which many corporate leaders are backing. they'll tell us how they think washington can come together and reach a deal, bill. >> sure would be great to figure that out. maria, looking forward to that. i'm bill griffeth here at the new york stock exchange. markets continue to feel the sting
army had been stolen from the ministry of defense by the very people the u.s. entrusted to run it. >> that's a lot of money. >> it's one of the biggest thefts in history, i think. >> most of the iraqi officials involved, including the former minister of defense, have skipped the country, but we found one of his deputies vacationing in paris. if you went back to baghdad, you'd be arrested. >> uh, no. nobody will arrest me. they will kill me. [ticking] [camera shutter snaps] >> these surveillance photos were taken by undercover police officers while they watched a team of seven south american thieves clean out an old navy store. >> shirts at $22.50, and they got the whole rack. >> when police moved in to make the arrest, they found enough merchandise to fill a room. all taken in less than an hour without anyone inside the store noticing a thing. [ticking] >> we have never seen a problem of this size and magnitude in world history. >> now hang on. in world history. >> there's more counterfeiting going on in china now than we've ever seen anywhere. >> name an american brand. any brand
steve jobs. you're probably already using something this quiet genius already invented. "the wall street journal report" begins right now. >> this is america's number-one financial news program. "the wall street journal report." now, maria bartiromo. >> here's a look what's making news as we head into a new week on wall street. corporate america had a strong message for president obama this week. ceos from more than a dozen of america's largest companies met with the president and warned that washington must reach a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff. the president also sat down with congressional leaders and officially began negotiations. if congress doesn't act, taxes on income, capital gains, dividends and estates will all go up. and automatic spending cuts will kick in, beginning on january 1st. this week, i spoke with alan simpson and erskine bowles, authors of a deficit reduction plan about what needs to be done. >> you can't tax your way out of this. you can't cut spending your way out of this. you can't grow your way out of this. so grab hold, it's going to be a rocky, rocky road. >>
. u.s. equity futures should be interesting to look at temperature basically on hold. not sure what to do after yesterday. we'll talk more about the economy in a minute with david rosenburg. it was pretty clear yesterday that depending on how you wanted to spin it, could you say how do you do for another four years. i don't remember any euro news in the last six months no matter how bad it was, we didn't get it free handle. so there's more to it than just europe. >> it was the fiscal cliff, but also the financials got hit so hard. if it had been romney, the cliff would be less of a deal because they would stepped all of them. so now we know and we lettered it first hand yesterday. boehner said we're open to tax increase, but part of a bigger plan that involves spending cuts. dove did a bungee -- >> worst thing i ever did. >> but it goes down and then right back up. >> the worst part is you feel like you're connected on something, but don't. it's a free fall until the very he said and then he start to feel like i'm connected to something and it throws being back into the air. >> my q
to be closing up more than 200 points. margie from wells fargo funds management joins us, so does michael from destination wealth management and joe greco will be with us in a few moments here. rick santelli is staying late as well with this rally here. >> ready to go, joe? >> yes. >> what do you make of the rally? >> i guess when republicans want to peek past what is involved besides a tax increase, that signals a compromise. so, the markets say, hey, maybe they'll work things out in washington. the unfortunate thing is this lift today will be met with more selling as we get closer to the holiday and the long weekend. >> this is not a new phase here -- >> you can look at volume, behavior of the trading and it looks like we'll have a little more of a lift. we've broken through a level that held nicely. started to lift onto the tail end of the day. i think if we can get a little closer to the tail end, but toward the end of the year, we'll test higher. >> do you believe this is a rise above rally? do you believe it won't hold? >> it's going to be very choppy. what bill mentioned about the 200-m
liquidity concerns in the market martin schultz is with us. thanks for joining us. is this a sign of things to come, a big standoff with japan? >> well, it's rather surprising that a hopeful government coming in is picking a fight with the bank of japan when they're starting off. what is happening here is that it seems that the ldp doesn't really have a growth strategy right now and the frustration in industry with the strong yen and slowdown in export is tremendous about that. >> big problems if we have unfettered money printing. would there be as he also says 30 years of deflation? >> well, one of the lessons we have here is that many different monetary policies didn't work so far. we still have an economy that is in restructuring mode with many corporations. so sony, sharp, still trying to get back on their feet. on the other hand, we also have an economy that is slinging simply by aging and what would be needed would be strong growth policies and this is what the bank of japan will be pushing when he's in office. on the other hand, deflation is there, printing more yen might be helping
" gets under way right now. >>> welcome to "closing bell." bill griffeth rejoins us in a moment. no follow-through rally. stocks closing in the red on fiscal cliff fears. dow jones lower by 43 points, 12,966. nasdaq finishes higher by nearly 10, 2,976. and the s&p down almost 3%, 1406. >> the deadline for the fiscal cliff is nearly one month away. if we go over that cliff, russ says some investors are not prepared for that decline. >> he joins us now a long with michael, cnbc contributor for destination wealth management and mary thompson joins us as well. russ, you're saying it's not priced in at this point. what should we be worried about? >> it's not priced in. it's very hard to find much evidence, either from investors or the sell side that people really expect to go over the fiscal cliff. i think what that means is if we get into the end of the year and looks like negotiations are not going forward, we may not solve this before 2013, we're likely to see rise in volatility, likely to see selling. >> how bad could it be? >> if you look at what might happened, in other words,
-fired power plants generating electricity in the u.s., and those plants produce 130 million tons of waste called coal ash. it contains concentrations of mercury, arsenic, lead, and other toxic materials. and as lesley stahl first reported in 2009, when coal ash is dumped into wet ponds--and there are more than 500 of those across the country-- the result can have an enormous health risk on the people living in nearby communities. >> we get about 48%, nearly half of the electricity in this country from coal. >> jim roewer is one of the top lobbyists for the power industry. >> coal is going to be around for a long time. >> and we really can't get rid of coal. >> we shouldn't get rid of coal. >> well, should or shouldn't, we can't, and coal makes waste. would you say that the industry has done a good job of disposing of the coal ash waste? >> we can do better. >> does that mean no? >> well, we had a kingston spill. >> that's kingston, tennessee, where, in december 2008, a giant retention pool of coal ash buckled under the weight of five decades of waste. >> all the power lines have been knoc
were using phony legal documents to throw people out of their homes. chris pendley says he forged 4,000 bogus mortgage documents a day for major u.s. banks. and your previous experience in banking? >> none. [ticking] >> it started out as a mortgage crisis. then it slowly evolved into a credit crisis. now it's something entirely different and much more serious. >> this is a full-blown financial storm and one that comes around perhaps one every 50 or 100 years. this is the real thing. >> and much of what went wrong on wall street could be traced back to something called "credit default swaps." they were traded in a risky shadow market, and they were at the heart of the financial meltdown. [ticking] >> it has tentacles as wide as anything i've seen. i think, next to housing, this is the single most important issue in the united states and certainly the largest threat to the u.s. economy. >> meredith whitney was talking back in 2010 about a then- looming financial crisis involving state and local governments across the country. it was a debt crisis which some people believe could derail
a shortened week. let's bring in our guests for their take on what went on. with us now, chip dixon, jeff cox, and rick santelli. nice to have you on the program. thanks for joining us. chip, let me begin with you. haven't see you in a little bit. we used to talk long ago when you were at a different firm. welcome back to cnbc. >> thank you. >> you are the director of research discern. what is your research telling you here about where we are in this market and in this cycle for the economy? >> well, it tell us that the housing sector is improving and the residential side. commercial permit activity, which we see, has gone up, it's kind of plateauing. it tells us we're dealing with a lot of uncertainty out there. there's a tremendous amount of pent-up capacity in corporate america if we can just get the right fiscal policies in place. this economy could do well. >> do you think things loosen up after the election when we know who the president will be? >> i think it depends. then we're going to have more clarity on the policies. what we want in place are constructive growth oriented fiscal po
would send us back into one. how can it be? >> a couple of reasons. first is what really matters number one asset, her house and that house price is going higher as we found out from the 3% gain in home prices reported by the survey this morning. you get the property values up and you get a consumer who decides that all is not lost. 14,000 may be transitioning from the hole in their house to being in the black again. that could be driving this confidence locomotive. >> all aboard. >> it has changed in the last year. the last time we worked the consumer confidence level. it was in february of 2008. home prices were beginning their traumatic fall. we could be having a developing home shortage. also explains the endless buy on the home goods stocks. more important, these housing price increases have to be considered when it comes to the positive psyche of the homeowners which might explain the consumer confidence in the fiscal cliff. perhaps the majority of the people who were polled are oblivious to the dangers of the physical cliff. maybe they don't know what it means. maybe they don't k
because the underlying fundamentals in the u.s. economy are clearly improving, and you also have a stabilization or soft landing happening in china at the same time. >> david kelly, what do you want to be doing here? what's your strategy for the fiscal cliff? do you think we go over it, and what do you want to do? >> for a long-term investor, you don't try and play this one. i agree with stephanie about the market probably going higher once they get a resolution. they will get a resolution. it's possible it could go into early january. i still think they're more likely to get a resolution done before the end of the year. either way, they'll get a resolution done. when that happens, then we'll resort to looking at the u.s. economy, which is strengthening a bit here. also, the extreme and relative valuations between high-quality fixed income and equities will push money towards equities. i would not run for cover here because of the volatility. i think you just have to, you know, hold your ground through this and hope that the market moves higher next year. >> bob, this activity at
adp employment report. mark zandi will deliver the report to us first on cnbc. let's get over to andrew with more of today's top stories. >> joe, i think actually we're going to go and talk to mary thompson. as new jersey begins to recover, gas lines are growing. mary thompson is on the new jersey turnpike this morning. mary, good to see you. but there's been a lot of lines and a lot of people talking about this. >> reporter: yeah, very frustrating situation. take a look behind me, you can see the line at the vince lombardi station. and what you can't see is that it stretches down just about a half a mile to the entrance to this rest stop. our cameraman waited in line to get gasoline, he said it took him about 25 minutes. and brian sullivan drove past it yesterday and said the line was at least 200 cars deep. similar scenes like there are being played out all over new jersey as well as long island. residents driving across state lines to find gas, others expressing increasing frustration with the situation. >> impossible. can't get it. and we have no lights on, so i have to ge
seen it. >> we're glad you came. >> join us tonight for a special edition of "squawk box." "squawk on the street" begins right now. ♪ >>> after all of the primaries, the ads, the debates, it all comes down to you voting today. good morning. happy election day. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm carl quintanilla with melis melissa, jim cramer, david faber. some green arrows on the dow. stocks haven't had a three-day winning streak since october 17 as they really do wonder what the end result is going to be after the polls close. as for europe, some pmi numbers coming out. a lot of the negative but some argue not deteriorating as quickly as they have been in recent months and quarters. road map this morning is a long trip from new hampshire to hawaii as americans vote today. markets awaiting the results. bear in mind, 30 million americans have already cast their ballots of early voting. how does that change today's dynamics? >> gm gets 11 billion $11 billi credit lines a sign it may buy back shares from the government. nissan and suzuki see big impact. >> tens of thousands of b
no time on this issue today. fitch saying the u.s. needs to fix that debt threat and moody's says it's going to wait before taking any action and maintain its negative outlook on the u.s. economy. one thing is for sure. the stock market is taking the fiscal cliff very seriously. the blue chip average is off the lows but still down sharply at one time today, the dow was down about 369 points. first time we've seen that big of a decline since november 21st of last year. off the lows rights now, the dow down 260 points at 12,985. the nasdaq is down 63 points, a more than 2% decline at 2947. the s&p at this hour is down 28 points right at 1400. let's break down what's behind today's dramatic decline in stocks in today's "closing bell" exchange. we welcome back michael pento, kwint tatro, jeff sika, and our own rick santelli. quint, you believe the market was going to go down either way. why? >> i do. i think this was long overdue. we have been propped up with some incertauncertainty. it's kept the market saying, are we going to get a change? it didn't matter who won. we've been facing pr
them. i'm afraid the details haven't been shared with us. >>> hillary clinton joins egypt in attempting to broke aerodeal between israel and hamas. strikes on gaza and rocket attacks into israel continue. >> you're watching "worldwide exchange," bringing you business news from around the globe. >>> all right, we're into hump day, the day before thanksgiving, of course, as well. on today's show, we'll have updates from athens and brussels as the eurozone ministers fail to ruse a deal for greece. air strikes and rocket fire continue in the gaza strip in tel aviv, as hillary clinton urges both sides to diffuse violence. we'll have the latest live from zree israeli. we'll also take the pulse of the polish country. analysts from warsaw 40 minutes from now. >>> we'll be in providence, rhode island, to preview travel ahead of the thanksgiving holiday with the head of operations at peter pan bus lines. >>> but first, after nearly 12 hours of talks, eurozone finance ministers have failed in their quest to agree conditions that would have allowed the next chance of bailout cash going to greece. w
year. courtney reagan's been tracking the numbers and she will join us with the details. also veteran retail analyst dana telsey will join us with her take. and coming up at 6:40, com score gives us a forecast for cyber monday sales. we of course continue to watch the fiscal cliff count down. lawmakers have been trying to convince the naub they are willing to compromise. they return to capitol hill today. >> everything should be on the table. >> bring entitlement reform into the conversation. >> a group of corporate executives are calling on congress to rise above partisan politics to try to find some sort of a solution. we have a lot to talk about with gleg brown and we'll start that in just a moment, but first over to andrew. >>> finance ministers are trying to unfreeze the second bailout package for greece, but first they must agree on how to cut massive debt to a more sustainable level. we'll head to london for details on that. and playing down a deal talk, tom joyce saying his country's currently if talks with at least two firms on a possible sale of its largest business unit. bu
in the u.s. yesterday. take a look at the bond wall here of course we have an italian auction coming up later and italy's ten year, below 4.5% this morning. so price rising. that yield falling. spain also benefiting. that yield down to 5.2%. bunds creeping back up to 1.4% level. let's key in on currency. the aussie dollar despite the broader risk-on attitude a weaker. dollar-yen moving higher 82.13. and the nikkei is adding to its string of gains throughout the month. euro-dollar rebounding off yesterday's trading session to add 0.1%. let's check in on how the asia trading session went overnight and for more, deidre wong morris joins us from singapore. >> well, it was a very good session over here, as well. headline driven. but a good session on the back of that optimism for fiscal cliff talk. all except this glaring spot of red. shanghai composite finishing lower for yet another session. it keeps falling further and further. doesn't seem that there is anything that policymakers or investors can do to lift sentiment in this market. different story in the hang seng, rebounding up about 1
wood, rick santelli, and michael jones. guys, good to see you. thanks so much for joining us. steven, what's your take on the markets right now and this storm? how does it impact the economy and the markets from here? >> i think it's modestly constructive. i think we're still in the middle of the square root shaped economic recovery we've been in for over three years now. a grinding upward trend within the data. i think you saw some of the positive news. i think the chinese numbers were a little stronger than many had figured. so the global economy may not be decelerating as quickly as many had feared, but certainly earnings are going to trump a lot of investors coming into the season. i think coming into the fourth quarter, earnings are going to be critical but revenue is going to be extremely critical in an economic environment that's grindsi grinding upward. >> kevin, what about you? i know you're growing increasingly pessimistic about the impact of the fiscal cliff. what else is becoming a drag in terms of uncertainty on in economy and the market? >> i think right now markets are
kate kelly will join us from new jersey in just a moment. also among our guests, john ike burger of the national association of convenience stores. his members sell 80% of all the gasoline in the united states. now making the cleanup and recovery even more difficult, we have forecasters warning that a harsh nor'easter is on the way. we'll have a live report from the weather chan nenel in 20 minutes. amid all the problems is tomorrow is election day. the candidates are making a final push in six swing states. the latest poll shows the race is in a dead heat. barely favoring the president in most cases. reuters is reporting similar margins in florida, virginia, colorado and ohio. >> governor romney has been having a tough time here in ohio because everybody knows he was against saving the auto industry. you don't scare people just to scare up some votes. >> i can't wait for us to get started. he's hoping we'll settle. americans don't settle. we build, we aspire, we dream, we listen to that voice that says we can do better. >> john harwood will join us with more. and then we'll focu
. >> that does it for us today. we'll see you tomorrow. right now it's time for "squawk on the street." >>> good morning. happy monday. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee live from the new york stock exchange. we're kicking off what could be a very busy week on wall street. the presidential election is tomorrow. look at how we are setting up. implied opens across the board to the downside s&p looking to lose 2.5 at the open. as to europe that's where action is. jitters about greece and the bailout plan sending markets there lower. italy down 1.4%. voters cast their ballots in the presidential election here. greece must win key support for measures necessary for a bailout and delegates meet in china to decide a major change in leadership. >> 3 million is the number of ipads and ipads minis sold this weekend sending stock higher premarket. the question is what's the breakdown and can this reverse the steady decline in shares since they hit the record high of more than 700. >> recovery from sandy continues. manhattan gets power back and most subway service is restored although milli
that bring us any closer for farther away from a deal? the cliff, a deal. millions of us use the product he invented, this man, right here, to keep our computers safe from virus. as we first reported yesterday, john mcafee is on the run in central america. he is wanted for murder. we have new information this hour, including his side of the story. >>> and tens of thousands of people are still without power in the 12 wealthiest counties in the country. my mere and father-in-law got theirs back last night, but they still have no heat, no hot water and no laundry. we sent gary gam minute ski into the mess in his home up to with two cameras and what he came back with will stun you. sue is live at the new york stock exchange. sue? >> i have seep a little bit of that ty, you don't want to miss gary's story in a few minutes much the markets have been up and down on either side unchanged today. right now the dow is in the green by 22 points, the s and p up about 2.75 points. nasdaq negative by a quarter percent. gold market, a little profit taking there, well up above the 1700 level. west texas int
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